Compound Interest Guide

How to Choose an Interest Rate Assumption

Learn how to choose a reasonable rate for a compound interest estimate without making the projection misleading.

This article is for educational purposes only. It does not provide financial, investment, tax, or legal advice. Read the full Financial Disclaimer.

In this guide

Match the rate to the asset Avoid one perfect number Review assumptions over time

Match the rate to the asset

A savings account, CD, bond fund, stock fund, and retirement portfolio can have very different return expectations. The rate should match what the user is trying to model.

Using a stock-like return for a savings account would make the estimate misleading.

Avoid one perfect number

No one knows future returns with certainty. A single rate can make the future look more predictable than it is.

Use lower, base, and higher scenarios to understand a range of possible outcomes.

Review assumptions over time

Rates change, markets change, and personal goals change. A projection made today may need to be updated later.

The calculator is most useful when users revisit assumptions instead of treating the first result as final.